HDC Trading Statement Bearish
HUDACO INDUSTRIES LIMITED - Trading Update and Trading Statement
Hudaco Industries Limited
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What this filing means
Bad headline, better underneath: Hudaco's H1 HEPS is guided 32–34% lower at 624–635c, driven mostly by the discontinuance of two underperforming businesses (alternative energy and battery bay service), a R125m inventory write-off, and the non-repeat of a R35m prior-year fair-value gain. Strip those out and comparable earnings per share actually grew 12–13% to 973–983c — the continuing engine is healthy, but the headline number is the one the tape reads first.
Bull case
- Continuing-operations CEPS up 12–13% to 973–983c shows underlying earnings power is growing, decoupled from the headline 32–34% HEPS drop.
- Culling the commoditised energy and unviable battery-service units aligns the group with its high-margin value-added distribution model.
Bear case
- A R125m inventory impairment on stock held 2-3 years reveals a material demand-forecasting failure in the alternative energy business.
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