NY1 Results Bullish

NINETY ONE LIMITED - Results for the year ended 31 March 2026 and declaration of final dividend

Ninety One Group
Full analysis

What this filing means

Ninety One delivered a 31% increase in AUM and a return to positive net flows, though statutory per-share earnings growth was muted at 2% due to share dilution from the Sanlam transaction.

The investment manager successfully grew its total assets and attracted new client money after a tough previous year. However, because they issued new shares to buy another business, the actual profit per share only grew slightly.

Bull case

  • Net flows inflected positively, recording £2.8 billion in inflows compared to net outflows of £4.9 billion in the prior year.
  • The board declared a 10% increase in the total dividend to 13.4 pence per share, alongside CEO commentary noting positive momentum and visible demand recovery in emerging markets.

Bear case

  • Near-term firm-wide investment performance deteriorated, with one-year outperformance declining to 56% from 68%.
  • This short-form announcement omits cash flow statements and balance sheet metrics, leaving operating cash conversion, net debt, and total liquidity unquantified.
View original SENS announcement

AI-generated summary by SENS-AI, based on the original JSE SENS filing.

SENS-AI conclusion

Ninety One's annual results reflect a 31% expansion in closing AUM to £171.8 billion, driven by the £18.3 billion Sanlam take-on, a return to positive net flows of £2.8 billion, and supportive market conditions. The fundamental trajectory is positive with adjusted operating margins expanding, though the 12% growth in adjusted EPS overstates per-share economic progress relative to the 2% growth in basic HEPS due to time-weighted share dilution from the Sanlam deal. This short-form announcement does not contain cash flow statements or balance sheet metrics, requiring the full integrated report for total liquidity and cash-conversion visibility. Investor Takeaway: Operational momentum has clearly stabilized with positive flows and a successful Sanlam integration, but investors must account for the dilutive impact of the expanded share base on statutory per-share earnings.

Earnings momentum is returning and flows have inflected positively. The growth thesis is intact, though per-share returns will reflect the recent transaction dilution.

Decision framework

Current stance: Filing Positive

Key drivers

  • Net flows inflected positively, recording £2.8 billion in inflows compared to net outflows of £4.9 billion in the prior year.
  • The board declared a 10% increase in the total dividend to 13.4 pence per share, alongside CEO commentary noting positive momentum and visible demand recovery in emerging markets.

Key risks

  • Near-term firm-wide investment performance deteriorated, with one-year outperformance declining to 56% from 68%.
  • This short-form announcement omits cash flow statements and balance sheet metrics, leaving operating cash conversion, net debt, and total liquidity unquantified.

What would change the view

  • Forward guidance is cut or withdrawn in the next update.
  • Cash-flow conversion deteriorates relative to reported earnings.
  • Positive thesis fails to hold through the next reporting window.

Evidence from the filing

  • Net flows inflected positively, recording £2.8 billion in inflows compared to net outflows of £4.9 billion in the prior year.

    “Ninety One experienced net inflows of £2.8 billion in financial year 2026 (2025: net outflows of £(4.9) billion).”
Category
Results
Event posture
Constructive
Published
Jun 3, 2026

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